PRMIA 8007 : Exam II: Mathematical Foundations of Risk Measurement - 2015 Edition

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PRMIA 8007 Exam Syllabus Topics:

PRMIA Exam II: Mathematical Foundations of Risk Measurement - 2015 Edition Sample Questions:

1. Suppose a discrete random variable can take on the values -1, 0 and 1 each with a probability of 1/3. Then the mean and variance of the variable is

A) mean is 0, variance is 1/3
B) mean is 0, variance is 1/2
C) mean is 0, variance is 2/3
D) mean is 1/3, variance is 1/3

2. You are given the following values of a quadratic function f(x): f(0)=0, f(1)=-2, f(2)=-5. On the basis of these data, the derivative f'(0) is ...

A) in the interval ]-,-2.5]
B) in the interval ]-2.5,-2[
C) in the interval ]-2,+[
D) equal to -2

3. In a portfolio there are 7 bonds: 2 AAA Corporate bonds, 2 AAA Agency bonds, 1 AA Corporate and 2 AA Agency bonds. By an unexplained characteristic the probability of any specific AAA bond outperforming the others is twice the probability of any specific AA bond outperforming the others. What is the probability that an AA bond or a Corporate bond outperforms all of the others?

A) 5/7
B) 8/11
C) None of these
D) 6/11

4. Let N(.) denote the cumulative distribution function and suppose that X and Y are standard normally distributed and uncorrelated. Using the fact that N(1.96)=0.975, the probability that X 0 and Y 1.96 is approximately

A) 0.25%
B) 0.488%
C) 0.495%
D) 0.49%

5. An underlying asset price is at 100, its annual volatility is 25% and the risk free interest rate is 5%. A European call option has a strike of 85 and a maturity of 40 days. Its Black-Scholes price is 15.52. The options sensitivities are: delta = 0.98; gamma = 0.006 and vega = 1.55. What is the delta-gamma-vega approximation to the new option price when the underlying asset price changes to 105 and the volatility changes to 28%?

A) 20.54
B) 18.75
C) 19.23
D) 17.33

Solutions: